NBA odds: Conference finals lines, picks

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The Golden State Warriors await their opponent in the NBA Finals.

The Eastern Conference finals between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat will be decided in Game 7 on Sunday.

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The Celtics, the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference via tiebreaker, are battling the top-seeded Heat. Miami has the benefit of more rest after eliminating the Philadelphia 76ers in six games, winning each game by nine or more points.

“It feels like the Heat are a more complete team than the Celtics,” FOX Bet trading operations specialist Martin Pascual said. “As we’ve seen in the regular season, despite their star players missing so many games (Jimmy Butler played 57 regular-season games, Tyler Herro 66 and Bam Adebayo 56), they still got the one seed in the East. Additionally, if they reach a Game 7, it will be played on their home court.”

PICK: Heat to win series in seven games (+475 at time of pick, currently +275 at FOX Bet, bet $10 to win $37.50 total)

PICK: Warriors to win series in six games (+425 at time of bet, then +600 at FOX Bet, bet $10 to win $70 total) RESULT: Warriors in five

GAME IN PROGRESS

Celtics @ Heat (8:40 p.m. ET Sunday, ESPN; series tied 3-3) 

Point spread: Celtics -2.5 (Celtics favored to win by more than 2.5 points, otherwise Heat cover)
Moneyline: Celtics -154 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $16.49 total); Heat +110 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $21 total)
Total scoring over/under: 197.5 points scored by both teams combined

Boston Celtics

BOS

Miami Heat

MIA

The Miami Heat are 11-3 (78.6%) against the spread vs. the Boston Celtics off two or more days rest over their last 14 games

SERIES WINNER ODDS

Celtics -189 (bet $10 to win $15.29); Heat +155 (bet $10 to win $25.50)

COMPLETED GAMES

Heat 111, Celtics 103

Point spread: Heat (+8.5) cover by winning outright
Moneyline: Heat win as +320 underdogs (bet $10 to win $42 total); Celtics were -500 favorites (bet $10 to win $12 total)
Total scoring over/under: Over 200.5 points scored by both teams combined (214)

Miami Heat

MIA

Boston Celtics

BOS

The Miami Heat are 8-1 (88.9%) against the spread vs. the Boston Celtics on the road off two or more days rest over their last 9 games

Warriors 120, Mavericks 110 (Golden State wins series 4-1) 

Point spread: Warriors (-7) cover by winning by more than 7 points (10)
Moneyline: Warriors win as -303 favorites (bet $10 to win $13.30 total) Mavericks were +230 underdogs (bet $10 to win $33 total)
Total scoring over/under: Over 215.5 points scored by both teams combined (230)

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

Golden State Warriors

GSW

Celtics 93, Heat 80

Point spread: Celtics (-3.5) cover by winning by more than 3.5 points (13)
Moneyline: Celtics win as -162 favorites (bet $10 to win $16.17 total); Heat were +125 underdogs (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)
Total scoring over/under: Under 204 points scored by both teams combined (173)

Boston Celtics

BOS

Miami Heat

MIA

The Miami Heat are 11-3 (78.6%) against the spread vs. the Boston Celtics off two or more days rest over their last 14 games

NOTES: Boston made its move in the third quarter, outscoring Miami 32-16 in the period, turning a 42-37 halftime deficit into a 67-58 lead heading into the fourth. … The Celtics were 10-for-33 shooting on 3-pointers (30.3%) while Miami was a frosty 7-for-45 (15.6%).

Mavericks 119, Warriors 109

Point spread: Mavericks (-1.5) cover by winning by more than 1.5 points (10)
Moneyline: Mavericks win as -133 favorites (bet $10 to win $17.52 total); Warriors were +100 underdogs (bet $10 to win $20 total)
Total scoring over/under: Over 215.5 points scored by both teams combined (228)

Golden State Warriors

GSW

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

NOTES: The Mavericks led by as many as 29 points (99-70 after three quarters) before the Warriors made things interesting, cutting the deficit to eight. … Since 1991, teams that were down 3-0 in a playoff series are 39-57-5 against the spread (ATS) and 35-66 straight up (SU) in Game 4. … The Mavericks are 3-1-1 ATS and 4-1 SU all-time in Game 4 when trailing a series 3-0.

Celtics 102, Heat 82 

Point spread: Celtics (-7) cover by winning by more than 7 points (20)
Moneyline: Celtics win as -333 favorites (bet $10 to win $13 total); Heat were +230 underdogs (bet $10 to win $31.50 total)
Total scoring over/under: Under 206.5 points scored by both teams combined (184)

Miami Heat

MIA

Boston Celtics

BOS

The Miami Heat are 8-1 (88.9%) against the spread vs. the Boston Celtics on the road off two or more days rest over their last 9 games

Warriors 109, Mavericks 100 

Point spread: Warriors (+3.5) cover by winning outright
Moneyline: Warriors win as +125 underdogs (bet $10 to win $22.50 total); Mavericks were -162 favorites (bet $10 to win $16.17 total)
Total scoring over/under: Under 216.5 points scored by both teams combined (209)

Golden State Warriors

GSW

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

The Dallas Mavericks are 3-1 (75%) vs. the Golden State Warriors at home in 2021/2022

NOTES: Dallas’ Luka Doncic scored 40 points, the eighth time he’s scored 40 or more points in the postseason, a Mavericks record. Dallas is 2-6 in those games. … The Warriors have won at least one road game in 26 consecutive playoff series, an NBA record.

Heat 109, Celtics 103 (Miami leads series 2-1) 

Point spread: Heat (+6) cover by winning outright
Moneyline: Heat win as +200 underdogs (bet $10 to win $30 total); Celtics were -278 favorites (bet $10 to win $13.60 total)
Total scoring over/under: Over 208 points scored by both teams combined (212)

Miami Heat

MIA

Boston Celtics

BOS

The Miami Heat are 8-1 (88.9%) against the spread vs. the Boston Celtics on the road off two or more days rest over their last 9 games

NOTE: Miami star Jimmy Butler sat out the second half with inflammation in his right knee but early reports said the Heat expect him to play in Game 4. … Boston sank two 3-pointers in a span of 9.7 seconds in the final minute to help push the game over. … Miami is the first team in NBA postseason history to win only two quarters in the first three games and have a series lead, according to Elias Sports. The Heat have won the third quarter of Game 1 and the first quarter of Game 3 by a combined 46 points.

Warriors 126, Mavericks 117

Point spread: Warriors (-6.5) cover by winning by more than 6.5 points (9)
Moneyline: Warriors win as -278 favorites (bet $10 to win $13.60 total); Mavericks were +200 underdogs (bet $10 to win $30 total)
Total scoring over/under: Over 214 points scored by both teams combined (243)

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

Golden State Warriors

GSW

The Dallas Mavericks are 8-1 (88.9%) against the spread vs. the Golden State Warriors off two or more days rest over their last 9 games

Celtics 127, Heat 102

Point spread: Celtics (+1.5) cover by winning outright
Moneyline: Celtics -105 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $19.52 total); Heat -125 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $18 total)
Total scoring over/under: Over 207 points scored by both teams combined (229()

Boston Celtics

BOS

Miami Heat

MIA

The Miami Heat are 11-3 (78.6%) against the spread vs. the Boston Celtics off two or more days rest over their last 14 games

Warriors 112, Mavericks 87 

Point spread: Warriors (-5.5) cover by winning by more than 5.5 points (25)
Moneyline: Warriors win as -250 favorites (bet $10 to win $14 total); Mavericks were +185 underdogs (bet $10 to win $28.50 total)
Total scoring over/under: Under 214.5 points scored by both teams combined (199)

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

Golden State Warriors

GSW

The Dallas Mavericks are 8-1 (88.9%) against the spread vs. the Golden State Warriors off two or more days rest over their last 9 games

NOTES: Dallas’ last lead was 13-11 with 7:23 remaining in the first quarter. … Golden State’s Steph Curry (21 points, 12 rebounds) was the lone player with a double-double. … Every Warriors starter scored in double figures. … Golden State held Dallas to 31-for-86 shooting from the floor (36 %) and 11-for-48 shooting (22.9 %) on 3-pointers.

Heat 118, Celtics 107 

Point spread: Heat (-4.5) covers by winning by more than 4.5 points (11)
Moneyline: Heat win as -200 favorites (bet $10 to win $15 total); Celtics were +145 underdogs (bet $10 to win $24.50 total)
Total scoring over/under: Over 203 points scored by both teams combined (225)

Boston Celtics

BOS

Miami Heat

MIA

The Miami Heat are 11-3 (78.6%) against the spread vs. the Boston Celtics off two or more days rest over their last 14 games

NOTE: Miami’s Jimmy Butler scored 27 of his 41 points in the second half as the Heat erased an early Boston lead. … The Heat outscored the Celtics 39-14 in the third quarter. … Boston was without Marcus Smart (foot sprain) and Al Horford (COVID-19 protocol). 

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